The evolution of Fed funds futures market pricing | Forexlive

Here is a great chart snapshot from BMO showing how Fed pricing has changed in the past year. Most of 2023 involved the market buying into the idea of higher-for-longer Fed funds but since October 18, there has been a fresh attempt to price in rate cuts, despite ongoing hawkish Fed rhetoric. That came after a series of softer US economic data points, including the ISM survey and non-farm payrolls.

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