EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Further downside past 0.8800 appears more compelling


  • EUR/GBP prints three-day losing streak, justifies downside break of 0.8770-75 confluence.
  • Bearish MACD signals add strength to downside bias.
  • Recovery moves need validation from 0.8815 to convince bulls.

EUR/GBP justifies the downside break of the previous key support confluence as it portrays a three-day downtrend near 0.8760 heading into Friday’s London open. In doing so, the cross-currency pair remains depressed around the Year-To-Date (YTD) lows marked earlier in the week.

A daily closing below the 0.8775-70 support-turned-resistance confluence, comprising the 100-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late December 2022 keeps EUR/GBP bears hopeful. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals and lower high formation since March 08.

That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s upside from the last December to February, around 0.8710, seems to lure the EUR/GBP bears of late.

Following that, the December 20, 2022’s low near 0.8690 and the 200-DMA level surrounding 0.8685 could act as the key downside support to challenge the EUR/GBP bears, a break of which could quickly drag prices towards the late 2022 trough of near 0.8550.

Alternatively, recovery moves need to provide successful trading above the 0.8770-75 resistance confluence, previous support, to tease the EUR/GBP buyers.

Even so, a one-week-old descending resistance line, around 0.8815, precedes a three-week-old horizontal resistance, near 0.8835, to challenge the EUR/GBP buyers.

To sum up, EUR/GBP is likely to extend the latest south-run towards refreshing the YTD lows.

EUR/GBP: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected


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